Ireland’s borrowing costs drop as ratings agency S&P raises our outlook
IRELAND’S BORROWING COSTS FELL SHARPLY AFTER A LEADING GLOBAL RATINGS AGENCY LIFTED ITS OUTLOOK FOR THE COUNTRY.
The ratings change is a major boost for the Government’s plans to exit the bailout at the end of this year.
The vote of confidence in Ireland was in sharp contrast to Standard & Poor’s downgrade of Italian government debt earlier in the week.
The rating agency said there was now a one-in-three chance that it could raise Ireland’s main credit rating over the next two years.
After years of ratings downgrades, it would be the first upgrade for Ireland since 2001. A better rating is crucial for borrowing cheaply on the international markets.
Standard & Poor’s (S&P) said it had raised its outlook for the country from stable to positive and heaped praise on Ireland, saying it had not deviated from its budgetary targets since the bailout in 2010.
“Ireland’s economic recovery is under way,” the agency said.
“Given still weak external demand and Ireland’s exports exceeding 100pc of GDP, we expect growth to remain slow in 2013 and 2014.
“Nevertheless, Ireland’s domestic economy is showing signs of stabilising. Unemployment has started to decline while private sector employment numbers are improving.”
The Department of Finance and the National Treasury Management Agency (NTMA) hailed the move as reinforcing the positive reputation Ireland has earned with the markets.
“It is encouraging that Standard & Poor’s acknowledges the continued progress Ireland is making on the fiscal side and the improved access to capital markets,” an NTMA spokesman said.
The move contrasts with Moody’s ratings agency, which dashed Ireland’s hopes of an upgrade earlier this year when it reaffirmed its negative outlook.
S&P, which upgraded its outlook for Ireland in February also, said it expected our debt level to peak at 122pc of the value of the economy this year, before falling to 112pc by 2016.
It said it believed there was potential for Ireland to recover more rapidly if the eurozone economy picked up. And it also upgraded its outlook for the National Asset Management Agency (NAMA) from negative to positive.
But the agency also warned that risks remained, including the rising level of bad loans in the banks, particularly mortgage arrears.
Standard & Poor’s predicted the banks would not return to profitability this year, and in some cases probably not until 2015.
CRITICISM
It said that if the economy remained sluggish and banks were unable to deal with distressed loans, Ireland would not be upgraded.
The announcement follows criticism of the ratings agency yesterday from Italian Economy Minister Fabrizio Saccomanni for downgrading Italy’s credit rating, saying it failed to take account of recent government measures to boost growth.
The Mediterranean country’s rating was reduced from BBB+ to BBB due to weakening economic prospects and the country’s impaired financial system, according to S&P.
Greece is also struggling to recover from the economic backlash as its public sector took to the streets in protest this week against further austerity measures that were put in place.
Bankers tell Shane Filan to sing his way out of his €23m debt
Former Westlife star Shane Filan has revealed how bankers told him how he would have to “sing” to pay back his massive debts.
Faced with a bill of €23m over a series of property investments gone wrong, the 33-year-old described how he met with bank officials to try and find a solution.
“I’m sitting there, looking at this person, going ‘So where does that leave me?’
“‘Well you can sing, can’t you?’ That’s what I was told by one of them, ‘you can pay it back that way’.
“I was like, ‘I might be in Westlife, I am not in U2, it’s a lot of money to try and get back’. It wasn’t fair, but then life is not fair,” said Shane Filan.
Speaking for the first time about going bust, the Sligo man revealed how he had found himself next to broke in London last year just days after Westlife played two sell-out concerts in Croke Park.
“It was one of the scariest days I ever had. I walked out of a shop to get some money and there was only £470 in my account. My son asked if I could buy a Spiderman toy, and instead I said I promised I would get it for his birthday.
“I was crying my eyes out inside because, I couldn’t tell anybody how bad my money situation was. I had no money, no record deal and my band was over,” he recounted.
Launching his debut single Everything To Me on Ryan Tubridy’s 2fm show yesterday, the chart-topping singer revealed how he done everything he could to avoid bankruptcy, struggling to pay €30k to €40k each month in interest on loans run up by the property company he operated with his brother Finbarr.
“I sat down and had lots of meetings with the banks. I put it to them: a really good deal that they could have looked at, where I could have worked with them over number of years, and given them back as much as I could.
“It could been all of it, it could been some of it. It was an open book, and they said, ‘No, not suitable to us.’ It got to the stage where no matter what I offered it wasn’t going to happen, I don’t know if that was a public thing I don’t know. I will never know,” he said.
Forced to declare himself bankrupt in the UK in June 2012, he denied the move to Britain was a “bankruptcy thing” and said he had owned “a nice house, not a mansion” in Surrey for seven years.
ENCRUSTED: Going bust had led to him having to buy back his own diamond-encrusted wedding ring. “The trustees took out a value on it and I had to buy it back.
” You don’t expect to buy your wedding ring twice, it’s not nice,” he said declining to put a price on what the ring had cost to buy back.
However, the father-of-three credited wife Gillian with getting him through the dark days, and said she was the inspiration for most of the new songs on his new album.
“Gillian was incredible at keeping me focused. She kept telling me how everyone who had invested in the property business in Ireland had lost. She gave me 100pc support,” he said.
Ireland’s first Real Estate Investment Trust raises €310m
Ireland’s first Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) has raised €310m after strong international interest in the property investment vehicle led to it being significantly over-subscribed.
The REIT backed by executives at Green Property received a major endorsement from US-headquartered global investment group Pimco, which, through a vehicle it controls in Luxembourg, has taken a 10pc stake in the REIT. Pimco has over $2 trillion (€1.5trn) of assets under management.
The Green REIT – due to float on theIrish Stock Exchange next Wednesday – will primarily target investment property in south Dublin.
Green Property executives backing the REIT – including the firm’s chairman Stephen Vernon and chief executive Pat Gunne – had hoped to raise €200m for the investment vehicle. They and other Green Property top brass are stuffing a total of €10m of their own money into the REIT.
Green Property owns the Blanchardstown Shopping Centre in Dublin and has been a canny player in the property market, offloading some valuable assets before the market imploded.
The REIT is the first to be launched in Ireland and comes on the heels of changes made this year to legislation in the Finance Act. It’s also the first such vehicle to be listed on the stock exchange.
Gary Kennedy, the chairman of the REIT, said the fundraising was a “strong endorsement” of investors’ confidence in the Green Property management team and their track record.
“It also highlights the opportunity evident in the sectors of the Irishcommercial property market that Green REIT is targeting,” he said.
After the lock up in the Asylum for Mags
People with mental-health problems were once locked away in asylums. Now most live in the community, like Mags Kelly, whose story is told here. But they can easily fall through the cracks of an underfunded service.
Mags wakes up and waits for her heart to slow down. She feels like a woman pulled from a burning building: still not quite able to believe she’s safe.
At 6.30am she slides out of bed, sits at her dressing table and rolls a cigarette. Today, like lots of days, her anxiety is sky-high. In a few minutes she’ll take her anti-depressants and mood stabilisers. They numb the distress and ease the panic – but they don’t take away the pain.
Shards of memories tumble around her head. They are of rough-and-tumble years spent living on the streets: unprovoked assaults, bloodied noses, crack-houses and pimping. It all seems part of one chaotic mess.
Then the faces of her children. The girls she never knew, taken into care because she couldn’t cope.
And the fear that courses through her. What if the psychiatrist she saw thinks she can’t cope living in the community? Maybe she’ll get sectioned again and end up in a locked ward? Or maybe she’ll slip through the cracks of the system and end up back on the street?
“Fear is an awful thing,” Mags says. “If you have a lot of fear in your body, it just doesn’t go away . . . I can put on a false front. Put on a bit of make-up and act like I’m well. People say, ‘She’s better,’ but I can’t seem to relax or anything.
There are days when it feels like she’s making progress. Like the other week, when she discovered a bunch of newborn ducklings in a corner of the garden, all open beaks and yellow and black fur. She was the first to find them. It made her feel elated for days afterwards.
Or recently, when she got a letter to say one of her daughters in foster care wanted to make contact with her. She’ll dress up nicely and send on some photos of herself. Maybe one day they’ll be able to strike up a relationship.
But the bad days still come. And when they do, it can be overwhelming. “Depression is terrible. It’s rotten. Look what it’s done to me,” she says, baring her arms. “I’m destroyed. I’ve used myself like a human ashtray, stubbing cigarettes into myself.
“There are sometimes all these thoughts of self-harm in my head . . . I talk to someone, and I feel okay. Then, an hour later, it’s back. It’s like I’m slipping back into the past, and I can’t see a road ahead.”
Until recently, Ireland’s mental health system dealt with people such as Mags through institutionalisation and drug treatment. It was a model with a long history. For hundreds of years, people with psychiatric health problems were locked away in asylums, behind high walls. We led the world locking people up in institutions, with inpatient admission rates that were multiples of other countries.
Until recently, Ireland’s mental health system dealt with people such as Mags through institutionalisation and drug treatment. It was a model with a long history. For hundreds of years, people with psychiatric health problems were locked away in asylums, behind high walls. We led the world locking people up in institutions, with inpatient admission rates that were multiples of other countries.
Today, most of these institutions have closed or ceased admissions. Only 300 patients remain, down from 25,000 about 20 years ago. The last remaining asylum is due to close within the next 12 months or so. The State’s policy now is to provide care in the community. To do this, it is funding the development of teams of professionals – psychiatrists, therapists, nurses and social workers – who support those with mental-health difficulties in a home environment.
Everyone agrees A Vision for Change, the policy launched in 2006, is a more enlightened and progressive approach. Research shows that a wider range of support is much more effective at helping patients recover than the narrower “medical model” associated with institutional care.
But our community mental-health services are under real strain. Dr Patrick Devitt, the Inspector for Mental Health Services, found the system of support was “stagnant and perhaps slipped backwards” last year as a result of dwindling staff numbers and poor governance.
The concerns were echoed by John Saunders, chair of theMental Health Commission, the State’s watchdog for psychiatric services. “We have incomplete mental-health teams trying to provide multidisciplinary care,” says Saunders.
Last year, millions of euro ring-fenced by the Government to hire more than 400 staff to modernise mental-health services disappeared. It ended up being used to tackle cost overruns in other parts of the health services.
The Health Service Executive says all these posts are being filled this year. But staff have been retiring in even greater numbers, so the extra recruitment is like pouring water into a fast-leaking bucket.
New figures show more than 1,000 fewer full-time posts exist in mental-health services today than in 2009. Staffing levels in some sectors are now at about 50 per cent of those recommended in the Vision for Change policy as being needed to run an effective service.
Records obtained by The Irish Times show unfilled posts are resulting in professionals being pulled out of community services to plug gaps in inpatient care, a move that flies in the face of Government policy. “With the huge exodus of nurses who are retiring, coupled with the recruitment embargo, the community services of which we are so proud are being decimated,” reads an internal email from the clinical director of one HSE service.
DCU Student aims to be the first Irishman to go into space
DCU student, Seán Corcoran will compete this weekend in the Lynx Apollo Space Academy National Challengein London in a bid to win a coveted place on board a space flight next year.
The Lynx Apollo Space Academy is the deodorant brand’s global campaign to launch one lucky person into space and has attracted 87 000 entries in Britain and Ireland alone. Seán, a second year Software Engineering student from Finglas will battle it out against 200 other potential astronauts from across Britain and Ireland in a series of gruelling NASA-style physical and mental challenges.
The four strongest candidates from the National Challenge in London will progress to the Global Space Camp in Orlando, Florida to join with finalists from 22 countries across the world. Following intense preparation for the rigours of space travel and a final set of challenges, one lucky winner will be selected to fly 103km into space in 2014 with space tourism company Spacexc.
The Lynx Apollo Space Academy National Challenge London will take place in front of a live audience at Westfield London on Saturday 13th and Sunday 14th July.
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